the Notebook -- Washington DC Economic Partnership

18th Edition

the Scene

 

 

Don't Miss WDCEP's

December 4,

10am-2pm

Washington Convention Center

 

 

the Buzz

 

Greg Leisch

 

Delta Associates 

 

 

the Latest

 

the Latest

 

the 411 on 202

 

the 411 on 202

 

The Videos

 

AMDS recap

 

Last Chance - Register for WDCEP's Annual Meeting & Development Showcase Today!

 

Click to Play Videos of past AMDS events

The 2009 Annual Meeting and Development Showcase will not only feature DC's leading developers, architects, brokers, and contractors, but also the District's ability to remain at the cutting edge of emerging opportunities. READ MORE...  To Register, click HERE and save $20 off the on-site registration price.

 

 

 

New DC Development Report To Be Released at AMDS09

DC Development ReportWhen you register for AMDS09, you are also securing your own personal copy of The DC Development Report-an annual publication produced by the Washington, DC Economic Partnership.  This year's report features data on more than 1,170 development projects in DC, as well as development trends, neighborhood "Hot Spots," and new this year, a DC development outlook prepared by Delta Associates (see Buzz below for an in depth interview with Delta Associates CEO Greg Leisch). The Development Outlook section details how the national and local economies have been affected by the economic downturn, as well as the outlook for the office, residential and capital markets.  Be the first to receive a copy of the Development Report at WDCEP's Annual Meeting and Development Showcase on December 4th.

 

 

Retail Summit Spotlights Local Talent

The WDCEP recently partnered with the Capitol Riverfront BID to showcase DC's premier retail opportunities in the exciting neighborhoods of Capitol Riverfront and Capitol Hill.  The Storefront Retail Summit was attended by close to 100 developers, brokers, investors, and other parties with a vested interest in this vibrant and emerging area, who heard from local restaurateurs from Justin's Café, Belga Café, Cornercopia, Subway, and Good Stuff Eatery.  This was the sixth year WDCEP has undertaken a retail summit.  Contact Keith Sellars at ksellars@wdcep.com for more information.

 

 

Small Business Development Fellow Joins WDCEP

WDCEP would like to congratulate Daour Diawara, the organization's first Small Business Development Fellow.  Daour underwent a rigorous selection process and was the finalist from a pool of highly qualified candidates. Daour is a second year graduate student at Howard University who is studying International Economics. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Business Administration with a concentration in Finance from American University. With the help of his strong leadership and business experience, Daour will support WDCEP's business development initiatives and entrepreneurship programs.

 

 

ICSC Alliance Program

The ICSC Alliance Program is an outreach initiative which promotes public-private partnerships and open dialogue on emerging issues impacting the retail real estate industry and the quality of life in local communities. The program provides educational and networking forums that foster communication and collaboration between the public and private sectors.  The program's target audience is private sector developers, brokers, owners, retailers AND public sector/non profit elected and appointed officials, planners, economic development professionals, etc. A key component of the program is creating strategic alliances in cooperation with public sector & non-profit associations and organizations that represent the target audience. READ MORE...

 

 

Ward 4 Storefront Improvement Program

The  Department of Small and Local Business Development (DSLBD) and the Office of Ward 4 Councilmember Muriel Bowser are launching the Ward 4 Storefront Improvement Program.   How can this service help your business? Through this program, business owners can apply for services to improve the appearance of their storefront, including: Signs, awnings, exterior lighting; painting (exterior only), security grates (removal or relocation to the store interior); and, window glass (replacement of broken storefront glass or plexiglass).As a pilot program, DSLBD is only able to provide services to a limited number of eligible businesses.  READ MORE...

 

 

WDCEP on YouTube!

YouTubeIf you recently missed a WDCEP event or are interested in hearing from some of DC's most successful small businesses, then visit our YouTube page. The WDCEP has uploaded many of its past events and guest speakers including AMDS keynotes, Small Business Award winners and testimonials from local entrepreneurs to YouTube. 

 

 

 The Buzz with Greg Leisch

Greg LeischGregory H. Leisch founded Delta Associates in 1980 and serves as its Chief Executive. He has been active in the real estate business since 1970 as a consultant and advisor. Delta Associates serves its public, private and institutional commercial real estate clients with cutting edge consulting, subscription data, and valuation services.

 What is Delta Associates' forecast for employment in the District?
While the national job picture remains bleak in the Fall of 2009, the Washington region has turned the corner. The local recession ended in January and the region has been growing jobs since. The area has added 20,200 jobs since January, and most of those are in the District of Columbia. The District of Columbia has added an average of 7,100 jobs per annum over the past 15 years. I am projecting it to add 6,500 per annum over the next five years, due largely to the expanded role of the Federal government. And this bodes particularly well for the commercial real estate industry as it works off some excesses created at the end of the last development cycle.

What is the outlook for the Office Market?
The DC office market has undergone significant deterioration over the past 12 months.  Absorption has been negative 168,000 sq. ft., while vacancy has increased 360 basis points to 10.2%.  Rents are in decline throughout DC as concessions are on the rise. Notwithstanding these negatives, DC remains one of the nation's strongest office markets. It is my view that these weak conditions will peak quickly in 2010 and market recovery will be underway thereafter, with product shortage emerging by 2014.
 
What are you forecasting for the Condominium Market
Relative to the suburbs, the DC condominium market was early to respond to peaking demand in 2004-2005 and early to slow down in 2007-2008. So also is its recovery, in my view. I expect new condo product shortage in DC by the end of 2010.
 
What is the intermediate and long-term outlook for DC?
 The outlook remains positive, as DC currently retains one of the lowest vacancy rates and is home to the most premier space options for tenants in the region. A well educated populous and a solid job market produces continued demand for quality residential product, as we move past the worst of this recessionary cycle. However, given the time it takes for entitlements and construction in DC, this means the following dates for construction commencement, in select submarkets, to catch the sweet spot of the next cycle:
ˇ         Now: Condominiums
ˇ         Mid 2010: Apartments
ˇ         Second Quarter 2011: Office
 
 
To read more about the shape the recovery will take and its relevance to the Nation's Capital, pick up a copy of The DC Development Report at WDCEP's Annual Meeting and Development Showcase December 4th.  Register here. 

 

 

 

411 on 202

    

Pick up your copy of the 2009/2010 DC Development Report, available December 4th at AMDS09 for access to more facts like these:

 

$15.6 trillion: Total U.S. government bailout & guarantee initiatives (Source: Delta Associates)
3.3 million: Square feet of office space expected to start construction by the end of 2009
1,035: Hotel room currently under construction or renovation
5: Platinum rated LEED buildings in DC by the end of 2010
2: New grocery stores opening in DC by 1Q 2011

 

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